Graham's Odds: 
Jaro -160; Hernandez +140
Over 9.5 -165; under 9.5 +145

One of the most interesting fights of the weekend, unavailable on American TV, takes place on Saturday night in Mexico City when Mexico’s Adrian Hernandez takes on Filipino Sonny Boy Jaro in a light-flyweight title elimination match.

Jaro is the more experienced fighter, having fought well in a championship challenge against in Mexico against the brilliant Edgar Sosa, whom he floored.

In his last fight, Jaro was a spectacular winner in one round over Filipino former world title challenger Eriberto Gejon. He moved forward in a relaxed way and brought over a big right hand that sent Gejon crashing to the canvas.

Hernandez, though, has given some good performances, in particular his fourth-round KO win over Rodel Mayol, the Filipino who last weekend was very competitive against Ivan Calderon.

In his only loss, Hernandez was stopped in the sixth round by a fellow-Mexican named Oscar Ibarra. I have no details of this bout. Hernandez has come back well, though, with two wins in Italy. I was able to see his last fight, on the Fragomeni-Wlodarczyk show, and I was impressed with Hernandez’s workrate and combinations in an easy points win over a trial horse type of opponent.

Jaro can fight, and he is well-travelled, having boxed in Mexico, South Africa, Thailand and Indonesia. He has been stopped four times, however, and I think it was a surprise to most people that he was able to see out the full 12 rounds against Sosa. He stood up to the sort of punishment that would have almost certainly have stopped a lot of fighters, and he had his big moment in the ninth round when a left hand — part jab, part hook — caught Sosa coming in and sent the champion to the canvas.

Last year, Jaro beat a well-regarded Filipino fighter named Along Denoy — it was Denoy’s only loss in the last four years. So, bearing in mind Hernandez’s stoppage loss to a little-known fighter, it is understandable that Jaro should be regarded as a slight favourite.

I like Hernandez’s chances in this fight, though. He is a high-activity type of fighter and I can see him outworking Jaro in an entertaining closely contested 12-rounder.

If the two were boxing in the Philippines I would go with Jaro, I must admit, but fighting at home in Mexico, with the crowd behind him, I will go with Hernandez to box an inspired fight and snatch a hard-fought decision.

Last Updated: 
June 19, 2009 - 10:41am