MAYWEATHER, MAIDANA; Challenger will give his all. / Photo: SUMIO YAMADA
Mayweather -750; Maidana +380
Over 11.5 -250; under 11.5 +185
When the Floyd Mayweather-Marcos Maidana rematch was announced, I struggled to get enthused. As always happens though, by fight day — today — I’m intrigued.
Last time the two met, at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas, where the rematch will take place — Showtime PPV in the States and BoxNation subscription-TV coverage in the U.K. — Mayweather pulled away in the late rounds for what seemed to be a clear win. Hold on a minute, though. One judge had the fight a draw and there were observers who made this a close fight. So, here we go again.
KIKO seeks revenge, FRAMPTON guarantees a win.
Frampton -200; Martinez +160
Over 10.5 +105; under 10.5 -115
Carl Frampton, fighting at home in Belfast, is favoured to confirm superiority and take Kiko Martinez’s IBF junior featherweight championship in their rematch on Saturday (TV coverage on BoxNation in Britain and AWE in the U.S.), but Martinez is fighting better than at any stage in his career, with three consecutive stoppage wins in title fights.
Although Frampton stopped the Spanish boxer in the ninth round in Belfast in February 2013, he will arguably face a much more formidable version of Martinez.
GLYN LEACH: Boxing Monthly editor will be missed by all who knew him.
It’s been 24 hours since I learned of Glyn Leach’s passing at the far too young age of 54 and I still can’t quite get over it. It’s almost as if I’m expecting the phone to ring and to hear his voice: “Well, what did you make of Kell Brook, then?”
Glyn was more than a colleague of many years standing but a true friend. I worked with him in the original offices of Boxing Monthly at Notting Hill Gate in west London from 1991/92, when I was editing the magazine, but in reality I was helping Glyn to make the transition from assistant editor to editor. Glyn took over when I re-crossed the Atlantic in 1992 and he became perhaps the longest-term editor of a boxing magazine that Britain has ever known — a remarkable 22-year run, although it helped that he was his own boss as co-owner of the magazine, after the original publishing company dissolved.
PORTER, BROOK: Well-matched fight. / Photo: Esther Lin, Showtime
Porter -175; Brook +145
Over 10.5 -130; under 10.5 +115
British welterweights John H. Stracey and Lloyd Honeyghan were huge underdogs when they travelled to Mexico City and Atlantic City respectively to win world titles.
Kell Brook isn’t nearly such a big outsider when he meets Shawn Porter in an IBF title bout at the StubHub Center in the Los Angeles suburb of Carson, CA, on Saturday, but he is an underdog nonetheless.
CANELO, LARA: Long, tense fight looks likely. / Photo: SUMIO YAMADA
Alvarez -150; Lara +130
Over 9.5 -195; under 9.5 +155
Saturday’s big PPV fight between Saul “Canelo” Alvarez and Erislandy Lara should tell us a lot about Canelo. The ginger-haired Mexican superstar was disappointing against Floyd Mayweather Jr. but came back to beat up Alfredo Angulo. If Canelo is destined for greatness he should be able to win this 12-round junior middleweight match at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas.
Canelo opened as just a -140 favourite but money has been coming in on him and his current price is around -200. I agree with the Canelo money. While this fight is intriguing and evenly matched, I’m going with Canelo.
COTTO, MARTINEZ: fascinating fight. Photo: CHRIS FARINA, Top Rank
Martinez -185; Cotto +155
Over 10.5 -160; under 10.5 +140
Having won titles at light-welter, welter and light-middleweight, Miguel Cotto attempts to become the first Puerto Rican four-weight world champion when he moves up to the middleweight division to challenge Sergio Martinez for the WBC title at Madison Square Garden on Saturday.
Martinez is bigger, but Cotto has some things in his favour, not least that New York City’s huge Puerto Rican population means that he effectively has hometown advantage.
FROCH, GROVES: No love lost between British rivals.
Froch -125; Groves +100
Over 11.5 -+120; under 11.5 -140
There are times when a fight ends in such an unsatisfactory fashion that a rematch gets made by public demand. This is the situation with the return fight between Carl Froch and George Groves, which takes place at Wembley Stadium on Saturday, with Sky Sports televising on PPV in the U.K. while HBO will be showing the fight for viewers in the U.S.
Froch, who will be defending his WBA “super world” and IBF 168lbs titles, felt he had proved superiority with last November’s ninth-round win — but few agreed.
MAYWEATHER; MAIDANA: Another masterclass looks likely. / Photo: TOM CASINO for Showtime
Mayweather -1250; Maidana +500
Over 10.5 -200; under 10.5 +160
When there is an upset in boxing there are usually clues — even if well-hidden ones — as to what might happen. A betting favourite might be looking past his opponent, or he might be under-prepared, or over-confident, or struggling to make weight, or perhaps beset by distractions outside the ring. He may be showing signs of slippage. Unfortunately for underdog Marcos Maidana, none of the above applies to Floyd Mayweather, who defends his WBC welterweight title, undefeated record and superstar status against the Argentinean slugger at the MGM Grand tonight; Maidana will be risking his WBA “super world” title and seeking to pull off a life-changing victory.
Try as we might, we cannot find any hint as to how Maidana can pull off a monumental surprise.
BURNS, CRAWFORD: Emotion-charged atmosphere could be factor.
Burns +150; Crawford -180
Over 10.5 -185; under 10.5 +155
After two struggling performances in a row, Ricky Burns knows he will need to be at his absolute best when he defends his WBO lightweight title against mandatory challenger Terence Crawford in Glasgow on Saturday (TV on Sky Sports in the UK., AWE in the U.S.).
This fight is, potentially, about as tough and as tricky as it gets. Burns will have a roaring Scottish crowd behind him at the Scottish National Exhibition Centre, and he’s the more experienced and perhaps the physically stronger fighter; Crawford is unbeaten, fast, clever and a sharp puncher, and, at 26, he’s the younger man by four years.
VAZQUEZ (left) is skilled but SHAFIKOV brings pressure. / Photo: SUMIO YAMADA
Vazquez -140; Shafikov +120
Over 11.5 -160; under 11.5 +140
Mexico’s Miguel Vazquez has been an underrated fighter for much of his career, and after seven successful defences of the IBF lightweight title he is finally getting the respect he deserves. However, I believe that Vazquez’s four-year reign as champion is in considerable jeopardy when he meets Russia’s Denis Shafikov on neutral ground in Macau on Saturday — China’s Olympic gold medallist Zou Shiming tops the bill as far as the local populace is concerned but for boxing fans around the world the Vazquez-Shafikov fight is the true main event.
Shafikov, a 28-year-old southpaw, is unbeaten in 34 fights. Although held to a draw by Italy’s Brunet Zamora, he beat Zamora quite comfortably on points in a rematch two years later, which indicates to me that Shafikov is an improving fighter.
CHISORA, FURY: Hoping to set the stage for a rematch.
Chisora -500; Johnson +240
Over 9.5 -250; under 9.5 +180
Promoters Frank Warren and Mick Hennessy are joining forces to present British heavyweight rivals Tyson Fury and Dereck Chisora in separate bouts in London on Saturday (TV coverage on BoxNation in the U.K., PPV in the U.S. and Fight Network in Canada). The plan is that Fury and Chisora will meet in a rematch later this year. If all works out as planned, Fury and Chisora will win to whet the boxing public’s appetite for the return fight.
There is always the risk, though, that something might go wrong.
Pascal -145; Bute +125
Over 10.5 +100; under 10.5 -120
In America they call it “neighbourhood rivalry”, in Britain “local derby”, but whatever you call it, a fight between two boxers with sizeable followings from the same city always attracts keen interest, and such is the case when former champions Jean Pascal and Lucian Bute collide at the Bell Centre in Montreal on Jan. 18.
The two meet for the NABF light-heavyweight title, TV coverage on HBO in the U.S., Sky Sports in the U.K., and there are doubts hovering over both men, Pascal due to injury problems, Bute simply because his defeat against Carl Froch in May 2012 was the type of battering that can undermine a boxer's self-belief.