BRIAN VILORIA vs GIOVANI SEGURA

Location: 
MANILA, Dec. 10
Graham's Odds: 
Viloria +140; Segura -180
Over 11.5 +140; under 11.5 -160

The little fighters just don’t get the respect they deserve. For instance there’s a tremendous fight in Manila today between Brian Viloria, the Hawaiian-born fighter of Filipino ancestry, and Mexico’s Giovani Segura but it has attracted little attention and most sportsbooks aren’t offering odds.
 
I just don’t understand this. The fight is a battle of champions: Viloria defending his flyweight title while Segura, a champion at junior flyweight, moves up four pounds in weight.
 
Segura is the favourite after a run of nine consecutive stoppage wins, including two crunching victories over Ivan Calderon, whose superb boxing skills weren’t enough against the relentless attack of the bigger, stronger Segura.
 
Tonight (early Sunday morning in the Philippines), Segura is the betting favourite but faces a difficult task. Viloria is going to have the crowd on his side and he is a skilled boxer and the strongest and hardest hitting fighter that Segura has faced.
 
Viloria, 31, scored a dramatic victory in a Philippines-Mexico clash in Manila in 2009 when he knocked out Ulises Solis in the 11th round. He was the underdog in that fight, too, but he produced perhaps his greatest performance. Viloria outpunched and outfought Solis before crumpling him to the canvas with a big right hand in a spectacular finish to become a two-time champ at junior flyweight.
 
It was a shock, then, when Viloria lost the title on a last-round stoppage against the Colombian, Carlos Tamara, in Manila in January 2010. In front on two judges’ scorecards after 11 rounds, Viloria suddenly seemed overcome by exhaustion in the final round.
 
Perhaps Viloria drained himself a bit too much making weight for that bout.  He moved up to 112 pounds and won the WBO title in July by outpointing the tough and aggressive Julio Cesar Miranda. Viloria boxed and moved beautifully for much of the fight but he seemed to tire down the stretch. Miranda swept the last three rounds on two judges’ cards but it was too little and too late.
 
It is highly likely that Viloria will be outboxing and outscoring Segura in the early rounds, too. I can picture him making Segura miss, countering him and even making him look clumsy and amateurish at times. Will Viloria be able to keep it up for all 12 rounds, though?
 
Segura, 29, is one of the most exciting fighters in the sport because he will keep coming forward and throwing punches in every round, prepared to take punches in order to position himself to deliver his own strength-sapping blows. For Segura, attack is the best form of defence. He fights equally well in the southpaw or orthodox postures, switching stances fluidly.
 
I think that at various points in the bout is Viloria going to have to stand and fight with Segura because the pressure will be so great that he won’t be able to maintain an in-and-out, hit-and-get-away style of boxing, and whenever Segura can get Viloria in front of him in an exchange I think he will be landing the sort of punches that will gradually erode Viloria’s resistance.
 
Yet we don’t know how well Segura can take the punches of a world-class 112-pounder. If Viloria can hurt Segura and slow him down, Viloria can win — we won’t know until the fight starts. My suspicion, though, is that the fresher Segura is going to be a bit too forceful and insistent for a champion who has been boxing professionally for almost a decade, after a long and distinguished amateur career. I can envisage Segura catching up with Viloria in the later rounds, perhaps around the 11th and quite likely while trailing on the scorecards.
 
In Saturday’s other big fight, Amir Khan defends his junior welter titles against Lamont Peterson in his opponent’s backyard of Washington DC, with HBO televising.
 
Khan is a big favourite and he looks just too fast, too talented and too athletic for Peterson even though the challenger is a game and capable fighter.
 
My first thoughts were that Khan would use his jab, fire off bursts of punches and box his way to a wide win on the scorecards. With the fight getting closer, though, I am not so sure that Peterson will be able to get through the 12 rounds. Khan looked tremendous at the weigh-in — big and muscular — and he talks of putting on an impressive show as he heads towards super-stardom and a potential megafight against Floyd Mayweather Jr.
 
Peterson has never been stopped but he was down in the third round against Timothy Bradley and Victor Ortiz and in both fights I thought that Peterson was close to being stopped in the early rounds although he fought back stubbornly to go the distance each time. (Indeed, Peterson almost pulled off the win against Ortiz, who surprisingly went to a defensive style of boxing instead of trying to get Peterson out of the fight.)
 
I think that Khan’s jab is going to give Peterson problems, and I have a feeling that the rather methodical challenger is going to struggle with Khan’s speed and movement.
 
Boxing at home in DC should bring out the absolute best in Peterson and I do expect him to put up a much stiffer challenge than that offered by an intimidated and reluctant Zab Judah. Peterson will give his all and he should bring out the best in Khan — which will be great for the HBO viewing audience but probably not such a good thing for the challenger.